Saturday, May 25, 2013

Expect A Very Active Hurricane Season In 2013, U.S. Meteorologists Say

Weather Reports

Filming Nature: NatGeo writes: “A television crew struggles through the high winds and storm surge caused by Hurricane Rita in 2005.”
Photo Credit: Mike Theiss/Corbis
Source: NatGeo

An article, by Willie Drye, in National Geographic says that the United States and eastern Canada can expect an active hurricane season this year. 
Meteorologists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration expect that unusually warm water and other factors will produce as many as six major hurricanes during a busy 2013 Atlantic hurricane season, they announced today. "There are no mitigating factors that could suppress hurricane activity," said Gerry Bell, NOAA's lead hurricane forecaster, in a conference call with reporters. "It will be active or very active."
Bell noted that water temperatures in the Atlantic are eight-tenths of a degree Fahrenheit above normal for this time of year. "That might not sound like much, but it's quite a bit," he said. (Read "Weather Gone Wild" in National Geographic magazine.) Hurricanes draw their fierce power from warm water, and can intensify when there are no upper-level winds—known as wind shear—to disrupt their momentum.
NOAA forecasters predict that 13 to 20 named tropical storms with winds of at least 35 miles per hour (56 kilometers per hour) will form between June 1 and November 30. Seven to 11 of those could evolve into hurricanes with winds of at least 74 miles per hour (119 kilometers per hour). And three to six of those hurricanes could intensify into major storms with winds exceeding 110 miles per hour (177 kilometers per hour), NOAA officials said. An average hurricane season sees about 12 named storms and six hurricanes, with only one or two becoming major storms.
This is not good news, since hurricanes by their very nature are destructive forces. That we can now better prepare for such storms is good news, but we can’t prevent such storms from either taking place or from causing widespread damage.  Well, we can mitigate some damage by boarding up windows and reinforcing weak structures. The cohort that continues to deny the anthropological effects of climate change will still not be convinced of the argument’s merits. But then gain, no rational argument or fact will do that.

You can read the rest of the article at [NatGeo]